tony.wright • November 24, 2025

Texas High School Football Playoff Predictor - 6A Division I Area Round

Texas High School Football Playoff Predictor

2025 UIL 6A Division I - Area Round Analysis

Championship Game: December 20, 2025 at AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Welcome to the most comprehensive analysis of the Texas 6A Division I Area Round playoffs. As we enter the second round of the playoffs, 16 teams remain in the hunt for the state championship. This detailed predictor provides AI-powered analysis, statistical breakdowns, and game-by-game previews for all Area Round matchups.

🏆 Undefeated Teams Still Standing

  • Allen Eagles (12-0) - Ranked #35 nationally
  • Dickinson Gators (12-0) - Perfect season continues
  • San Antonio Johnson (12-0) - Explosive offense averaging 44.1 PPG
  • Lake Travis Cavaliers (12-0) - Championship DNA with 6 state titles since 2007

📊 Power Rankings - Top 10 Teams

Based on our comprehensive analysis combining record, offensive/defensive statistics, playoff experience, and strength of schedule:

  1. Allen (12-0) - Power Rating: 86.8/100
  2. Duncanville (9-1) - Power Rating: 83.8/100
  3. Lake Travis (12-0) - Power Rating: 83.7/100
  4. North Crowley (11-1) - Power Rating: 82.1/100
  5. Dickinson (12-0) - Power Rating: 78.1/100
  6. San Antonio Johnson (12-0) - Power Rating: 77.1/100
  7. Cibolo Steele (11-1) - Power Rating: 70.4/100
  8. Odessa Permian (11-1) - Power Rating: 69.4/100
  9. Galena Park North Shore (10-2) - Power Rating: 67.3/100
  10. Coppell (10-1) - Power Rating: 66.4/100

🏈 REGION I MATCHUPS

North Crowley (11-1) vs Coppell (10-1)

📅 When: Saturday, November 23, 2025 - 1:00 PM
📍 Where: Midlothian ISD Multi-Purpose Stadium, 1800 S 14th St, Midlothian, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan

Game Preview: The stage is set for an explosive Area Round showdown as North Crowley, ranked 18th nationally, hosts Coppell in what promises to be one of the most intriguing matchups of the weekend. North Crowley's high-octane offense, averaging 42.5 points per game, will face its toughest test yet against Coppell's disciplined defense allowing just 17.3 points per game.

The Panthers' aerial attack, led by sophomore sensation Damarion Mays — the nation's 16th-ranked receiver in the Class of 2028 — has been virtually unstoppable. Mays torched defenses for 1,640 yards and 14 touchdowns as a freshman and has somehow gotten better in his sophomore campaign. Tight end Jeramie Cooper adds another dimension with offers from Alabama, LSU, and Tennessee.

Key Matchup: North Crowley's passing game versus Coppell's physical secondary. The Cowboys must find a way to disrupt timing routes and prevent the explosive plays that have defined North Crowley's season.

Prediction: North Crowley 35, Coppell 24
Confidence: Medium - North Crowley's explosive offense proves too much in a thrilling shootout.

Odessa Permian (11-1) @ Allen (12-0)

📅 When: Friday, November 22, 2025 - 6:00 PM
📍 Where: Shotwell Stadium, 2215 S 27th St, Abilene, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan

Game Preview: Friday Night Lights meets modern dynasty as Odessa Permian travels to face undefeated Allen in a clash of Texas high school football royalty. Allen enters as heavy favorites, riding a perfect season with their offense averaging 45.3 points per game and their defense allowing just 11.8 points per game — including multiple shutouts.

But if any team understands playoff football, it's Permian. The Panthers' gritty 30-28 victory over Mansfield Lake Ridge showcased their championship mettle. With six state titles and the inspiration for "Friday Night Lights," Permian knows how to rise when the lights are brightest.

Key Matchup: Allen's experienced offensive line versus Permian's proud defensive front. The Panthers must generate pressure and disrupt Allen's rhythm passing game to have any chance at the upset.

Prediction: Allen 42, Permian 21
Confidence: High - Allen's depth and talent prove insurmountable.

🏈 REGION II MATCHUPS

Duncanville (9-1) vs Klein Collins (11-1)

📅 When: Saturday, November 23, 2025 - 4:00 PM
📍 Where: Hutto Memorial Stadium, 211 FM 685, Hutto, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan (Limited seating - arrive early)

Game Preview: Defending state championship runner-up Duncanville, ranked 11th nationally, hosts surging Klein Collins. Duncanville's defense, allowing just 10.5 points per game, has been the best in the state. The Panthers have outscored their last three opponents by a combined 107-20.

Klein Collins brings an 11-1 record and momentum after their 37-27 upset of Cypress Bridgeland. Their balanced offensive attack has been clicking at the perfect time, and this team believes they belong on this stage.

Key Matchup: Duncanville's elite secondary, featuring SMU pledge Braylon Edwards and Arkansas pledge Victor Lincoln, against Klein Collins' passing attack.

Prediction: Duncanville 38, Klein Collins 17
Confidence: High - Duncanville's championship experience and elite defense prove too much.

Waxahachie (10-1) vs Cypress Ranch (10-2)

📅 When: Saturday, November 23, 2025 - 2:00 PM
📍 Where: Waco ISD Stadium, 1401 S New Rd, Waco, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan ($10 parking)

Game Preview: In the most evenly matched Area Round contest, Waxahachie and Cypress Ranch meet with a Regional Semifinal berth on the line. Waxahachie's ground-and-pound philosophy (271.1 rushing yards per game) meets Cypress Ranch's improving defense that's been their surprising strength.

Prediction: Waxahachie 31, Cypress Ranch 28
Confidence: Low - This one goes down to the wire.

🏈 REGION III MATCHUPS

Cypress Falls (9-3) vs Galena Park North Shore (10-2)

📅 When: Friday, November 22, 2025 - 2:00 PM
📍 Where: TDECU Stadium (University of Houston), 3874 Holman St, Houston, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan ($20 stadium parking, $10 remote with shuttle)

Game Preview: Houston's TDECU Stadium hosts a fascinating contrast in styles. Cypress Falls has been the surprise of the playoffs, averaging 41.2 points per game. Their 46-25 demolition of Katy Cinco Ranch sent shockwaves through the Houston area.

North Shore brings championship DNA with three state titles since 2015. Their 31-7 victory over Fort Bend Ridge Point was vintage North Shore: suffocating defense, efficient offense, and zero panic.

Prediction: North Shore 35, Cypress Falls 28
Confidence: Medium - North Shore's experience shows in crucial moments.

Houston Strake Jesuit (10-2) vs Dickinson (12-0)

📅 When: Friday, November 22, 2025 - 7:00 PM
📍 Where: Bulldog Stadium, 301 E Fairmont Pkwy, La Porte, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan (Clear bag policy)

Game Preview: Perfect meets powerful as undefeated Dickinson hosts Strake Jesuit. The Gators' unblemished record faces its sternest test against the Crusaders' private school powerhouse program. Dickinson's balanced attack (39.8 PPG offense, 15.3 PPG defense) has been the perfect formula.

Prediction: Dickinson 38, Strake Jesuit 31
Confidence: High - Dickinson's perfect season continues.

🏈 REGION IV MATCHUPS

San Antonio Johnson (12-0) vs Cibolo Steele (11-1)

📅 When: Friday, November 22, 2025 - 2:00 PM
📍 Where: Gustafson Stadium, 110 Tuleta Dr, San Antonio, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan (Limited parking, overflow at St. Mary's University)

Game Preview: The Alamo City showdown everyone wanted is here. Johnson's explosive offense (44.1 PPG) meets Steele's elite defense (14.8 PPG allowed) in what many consider the de facto Regional Final. Johnson's 56-37 demolition of Hutto served notice, while Steele's 45-14 victory over Weslaco was defensive domination.

Key Matchup: Irresistible force meets immovable object - Johnson's offense versus Steele's defense.

Prediction: Johnson 35, Steele 31
Confidence: Low - The game of the weekend lives up to the hype.

Lake Travis (12-0) vs Laredo United (10-2)

📅 When: Friday, November 22, 2025 - 7:00 PM
📍 Where: Heroes Stadium, 4803 Thousand Oaks Dr, San Antonio, TX
🎫 Tickets: Available on GoFan (Second game of doubleheader)

Game Preview: Lake Travis puts their perfect season on the line with championship DNA that few programs can match — six state titles since 2007. Their 13-7 defensive struggle against SA Brennan showed they can win ugly. The Cavaliers' defense (12.4 PPG allowed) has been the surprise strength.

Prediction: Lake Travis 42, Laredo United 21
Confidence: High - Lake Travis' superior depth takes over after halftime.

🏆 Championship Path Projection

Regional Finals (November 29-30)

  • Region I: Allen over North Crowley (31-28)
  • Region II: Duncanville over Waxahachie (35-21)
  • Region III: Dickinson over North Shore (28-24)
  • Region IV: Lake Travis over SA Johnson (38-35)

State Semifinals (December 13-14)

  • Allen vs Duncanville: Duncanville wins 31-28
  • Dickinson vs Lake Travis: Lake Travis wins 35-31

State Championship (December 20 at AT&T Stadium)

🏆 Predicted Champion: Duncanville
Runner-up: Lake Travis
Predicted Score: 38-35

📊 Key Statistical Insights

Offensive Leaders:

  • Allen - 45.3 PPG (Most dominant offense)
  • San Antonio Johnson - 44.1 PPG
  • North Crowley - 42.5 PPG
  • Cypress Falls - 41.2 PPG

Defensive Leaders:

  • Duncanville - 10.5 PPG allowed (State's best defense)
  • Allen - 11.8 PPG allowed
  • Lake Travis - 12.4 PPG allowed
  • North Crowley - 14.2 PPG allowed

Biggest Playoff Wins So Far:

  • Cibolo Steele 69, Laredo Johnson 14
  • Cypress Falls 63, Houston Bellaire 3
  • Southlake Carroll 72, San Angelo Central 7
  • San Antonio Johnson 59, SA O'Connor 21

🎫 Ticket Information

All Area Round games have tickets available through GoFan. Games are expected to sell out, especially the Friday night matchups. Arrive early for best parking and seating options. Most venues have clear bag policies in effect.

Weekend Schedule at a Glance:

Friday, November 22:

  • 2:00 PM - Two games (Houston & San Antonio)
  • 6:00 PM - Allen vs Permian (Abilene)
  • 7:00 PM - Two games (La Porte & San Antonio)

Saturday, November 23:

  • 1:00 PM - North Crowley vs Coppell (Midlothian)
  • 2:00 PM - Waxahachie vs Cypress Ranch (Waco)
  • 4:00 PM - Duncanville vs Klein Collins (Hutto)

Final Thoughts

The Area Round represents the true beginning of championship football in Texas. With only 16 teams remaining from the original 256 that started the playoffs, every game carries enormous weight. The margin for error is zero, and the intensity will be at its peak.

This weekend's games feature everything that makes Texas high school football special: tradition versus innovation, offense versus defense, and communities rallying behind their teams in pursuit of glory.

Good luck to all teams competing, and may the best team advance to the Regional Finals!

Analysis compiled using advanced metrics including offensive/defensive efficiency, strength of schedule, playoff experience, and head-to-head comparisons. Predictions are based on statistical models and current team performance trends.

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